Head-to-Head and Tournament Context
Historically, Algeria has dominated this fixture and enters this knockout match as the more in-form side.
| Aspect | Analysis & Key Statistics |
|---|---|
| Head-to-Head Record | Algeria remains unbeaten in all 7 meetings with DR Congo (3 wins, 4 draws). The last 4 encounters ended in draws. |
| AFCON Meetings | Previous AFCON encounters ended with a 1-0 win for Algeria in 1998 and a 0-0 draw in 2000. |
| Current AFCON Form | Algeria was perfect in the group stage (3 wins, 7 goals scored, 1 conceded). DR Congo advanced unbeaten (2 wins, 1 draw) with 5 goals scored. |
| Knockout Stage Experience | DR Congo reached the 2023 semi-finals and has recent knockout experience. Algeria won their only previous Round of 16 match 3-0 in 2019. |
Key Players and Tactical Outlook
The match will likely be decided by key individual performances and strategic setups.
- Algeria’s Attack: Led by Riyad Mahrez (3 goals), with Ibrahim Maza creating the most chances (8). Coach Vladimir Petkovic has a dynamic and confident squad.
- DR Congo’s Threat: Spearheaded by Gaël Kakuta (2 goals, 1 assist), defensively well-organized under manager Sébastien Desabre.
- Injuries: Algeria – Houssem Aouar; DR Congo – Mario Stroeykens.
Probable Lineups
- Algeria: Mandi, Bensebaini, Aït-Nouri; Bennacer; Mahrez, Chaïbi; Bounedjah/Amoura.
- DR Congo: Likely to rely on a solid defensive base to contain Algeria’s attack.
Match Prediction and Key Factors
Most analyses and betting odds favor an Algeria win within regular time:
- Algeria win: 1.97–2.00
- Draw: 3.05–3.15
- DR Congo win: 4.00–4.25
Most Likely Outcome: Algeria to win, given their superior attacking strength and perfect group-stage form.
Score Prediction: 2-0 or 1-0 to Algeria, with a clean sheet plausible.
Key Match Factors
- First Goal: Algeria is unbeaten in their last 15 AFCON matches when scoring first.
- Mahrez vs. Kakuta: The battle between these star playmakers could decide the game.
- Knockout Mentality: DR Congo’s experience in penalty shootouts may allow them to push for extra time if they can stay close.
Prediction: Algeria to win, most likely 2-0.
