Get the best analysis and tips for sportpesa mega jackpot venas prediction. Our thorough predictions can give you an edge on your jackpot bets.
🏆 Top Football Picks for Thursday, April 16, 2026
Showing top 10 matches from each of 10 markets, combined and sorted by score.
🔥 Overall Top 20 Picks (All Markets)
| Time | Teams | Market | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Palmeiras SP - Sp. Cristal | Double Chance 1X | 92% | 1.05 | -3.24% | 54.47 |
| 01:30 | River Plate - Carabobo | Double Chance 1X | 91% | 1.04 | -5.15% | 53.37 |
| 03:00 | Ind. del Valle - U. Central | Double Chance 1X | 91% | 1.04 | -5.15% | 53.37 |
| 23:00 | Lanus - Always Ready | Double Chance 1X | 89% | 1.07 | -4.46% | 52.39 |
| 16:00 | Aluminij - Mura | Over 1.5 | 84% | 1.23 | 2.70% | 51.42 |
| 02:00 | Zacatecoluca FC - Mun. Limeno | Double Chance 12 | 85% | 1.17 | -0.47% | 51.14 |
| 17:00 | Al-Najma Manama - Budaiya Club | Under 3.5 | 83% | 1.26 | 3.63% | 51.10 |
| 17:30 | Montana - Slavia Sofia | Under 3.5 | 82% | 1.29 | 4.48% | 50.76 |
| 17:00 | Al-Hidd - Al-Muharraq | Under 3.5 | 81% | 1.34 | 6.37% | 50.70 |
| 23:00 | Atletico MG - Juventud de LP | Double Chance 1X | 87% | 1.07 | -6.46% | 50.69 |
| 03:00 | Millonarios - Boston River | Double Chance 1X | 87% | 1.05 | -8.24% | 50.22 |
| 15:00 | East Bengal - Bengaluru | Over 1.5 | 82% | 1.25 | 2.00% | 50.08 |
| 01:30 | Corinthians SP - Santa Fe Bogota | Double Chance 1X | 86% | 1.07 | -7.46% | 49.84 |
| 03:00 | America de Cali - Alianza Atl. | Double Chance 1X | 85% | 1.1 | -5.91% | 49.67 |
| 01:30 | Sport Recife PE - Maranhao MA | Double Chance 1X | 86% | 1.06 | -8.34% | 49.61 |
| 19:45 | Peterborough Utd - Port Vale | Under 3.5 | 77% | 1.5 | 10.33% | 49.53 |
| 18:00 | CS Constantine - MC Alger | Under 3.5 | 85% | 1.09 | -6.74% | 49.45 |
| 02:30 | Alianza Salvador - Aguila | Over 1.5 | 79% | 1.32 | 3.24% | 48.69 |
| 01:00 | Matagalpa - Managua FC | Under 3.5 | 79% | 1.32 | 3.24% | 48.69 |
| 01:30 | Avai SC - Caxias RS | Under 3.5 | 82% | 1.15 | -4.96% | 48.19 |
📊 Breakdown by Market
Double Chance 1X
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Palmeiras SP - Sp. Cristal | 92% | 1.05 | -3.24% | 54.47 |
| 01:30 | River Plate - Carabobo | 91% | 1.04 | -5.15% | 53.37 |
| 03:00 | Ind. del Valle - U. Central | 91% | 1.04 | -5.15% | 53.37 |
| 23:00 | Lanus - Always Ready | 89% | 1.07 | -4.46% | 52.39 |
| 23:00 | Atletico MG - Juventud de LP | 87% | 1.07 | -6.46% | 50.69 |
| 03:00 | Millonarios - Boston River | 87% | 1.05 | -8.24% | 50.22 |
| 01:30 | Corinthians SP - Santa Fe Bogota | 86% | 1.07 | -7.46% | 49.84 |
| 03:00 | America de Cali - Alianza Atl. | 85% | 1.1 | -5.91% | 49.67 |
| 01:30 | Sport Recife PE - Maranhao MA | 86% | 1.06 | -8.34% | 49.61 |
| 01:30 | Fluminense RJ - Ind. Rivadavia | 81% | 1.13 | -7.50% | 46.92 |
Over 1.5
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Aluminij - Mura | 84% | 1.23 | 2.70% | 51.42 |
| 15:00 | East Bengal - Bengaluru | 82% | 1.25 | 2.00% | 50.08 |
| 02:30 | Alianza Salvador - Aguila | 79% | 1.32 | 3.24% | 48.69 |
| 23:00 | Palmeiras SP - Sp. Cristal | 81% | 1.17 | -4.47% | 47.74 |
| 03:00 | Ind. del Valle - U. Central | 80% | 1.18 | -4.75% | 47.08 |
| 02:30 | Inter FA - FAS Santa Ana | 77% | 1.3 | 0.08% | 46.67 |
| 17:00 | Al-Najma Manama - Budaiya Club | 76% | 1.33 | 0.81% | 46.30 |
| 18:30 | Vikingur Gota - AB Argir | 80% | 1.14 | -7.72% | 46.28 |
| 02:00 | LA Galaxy - Dep. Toluca | 79% | 1.18 | -5.75% | 46.23 |
| 23:00 | Atletico MG - Juventud de LP | 79% | 1.18 | -5.75% | 46.23 |
Double Chance 12
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | Zacatecoluca FC - Mun. Limeno | 85% | 1.17 | -0.47% | 51.14 |
| 17:30 | Montana - Slavia Sofia | 75% | 1.22 | -6.97% | 43.59 |
| 00:30 | Aguia de Maraba PA - Remo PA | 66% | 1.24 | -14.65% | 36.30 |
| 03:00 | Municipal - Comunicaciones | 53% | 2.25 | 8.56% | 35.81 |
| 18:00 | CS Constantine - MC Alger | 58% | 1.46 | -10.49% | 32.87 |
| 15:00 | East Bengal - Bengaluru | 49% | 2.2 | 3.55% | 32.09 |
| 16:00 | Pirin Blagoevgrad - Hebar | 54% | 1.62 | -7.73% | 31.40 |
| 01:00 | Guastatoya - Antigua GFC | 53% | 1.65 | -7.61% | 30.87 |
| 01:30 | Avai SC - Caxias RS | 50% | 1.58 | -13.29% | 27.55 |
| 15:00 | Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna | 45% | 1.83 | -9.64% | 25.83 |
Under 3.5
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Al-Najma Manama - Budaiya Club | 83% | 1.26 | 3.63% | 51.10 |
| 17:30 | Montana - Slavia Sofia | 82% | 1.29 | 4.48% | 50.76 |
| 17:00 | Al-Hidd - Al-Muharraq | 81% | 1.34 | 6.37% | 50.70 |
| 19:45 | Peterborough Utd - Port Vale | 77% | 1.5 | 10.33% | 49.53 |
| 18:00 | CS Constantine - MC Alger | 85% | 1.09 | -6.74% | 49.45 |
| 01:00 | Matagalpa - Managua FC | 79% | 1.32 | 3.24% | 48.69 |
| 01:30 | Avai SC - Caxias RS | 82% | 1.15 | -4.96% | 48.19 |
| 23:00 | ART Mun. Jalapa - Real Madriz | 77% | 1.39 | 5.06% | 48.05 |
| 23:00 | Tigre Victoria - Macara Ambato | 80% | 1.18 | -4.75% | 47.08 |
| 20:00 | Nottingham Forest - Porto | 79% | 1.22 | -2.97% | 46.99 |
Under 2.5
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Guastatoya - Antigua GFC | 65% | 1.66 | 4.76% | 41.18 |
| 01:00 | Matagalpa - Managua FC | 61% | 1.94 | 9.45% | 40.37 |
| 18:00 | CS Constantine - MC Alger | 68% | 1.32 | -7.76% | 39.34 |
| 15:00 | Chernom. Burgas - Ludogorets II | 61% | 1.73 | 3.20% | 38.49 |
| 01:30 | Avai SC - Caxias RS | 64% | 1.47 | -4.03% | 38.10 |
| 02:00 | Zacatecoluca FC - Mun. Limeno | 59% | 1.75 | 1.86% | 36.99 |
| 01:15 | Juventude RS - Chapecoense SC | 62% | 1.51 | -4.23% | 36.91 |
| 23:00 | Tigre Victoria - Macara Ambato | 61% | 1.53 | -4.36% | 36.31 |
| 23:00 | Imperatriz MA - ABC RN | 60% | 1.6 | -2.50% | 36.28 |
| 01:00 | Olimpia As. - Barracas Central | 60% | 1.57 | -3.69% | 35.93 |
Over 2.5
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Aluminij - Mura | 64% | 1.72 | 5.86% | 40.95 |
| 23:00 | Palmeiras SP - Sp. Cristal | 62% | 1.53 | -3.36% | 37.16 |
| 03:00 | Ind. del Valle - U. Central | 60% | 1.6 | -2.50% | 36.28 |
| 02:00 | LA Galaxy - Dep. Toluca | 59% | 1.62 | -2.73% | 35.65 |
| 18:30 | Vikingur Gota - AB Argir | 60% | 1.52 | -5.79% | 35.33 |
| 23:00 | Atletico MG - Juventud de LP | 58% | 1.62 | -3.73% | 34.80 |
| 23:00 | Lanus - Always Ready | 57% | 1.62 | -4.73% | 33.95 |
| 15:30 | Ararat-Armenia - Noah | 57% | 1.58 | -6.29% | 33.50 |
| 20:00 | Aston Villa - Bologna | 55% | 1.73 | -2.80% | 33.39 |
| 01:30 | River Plate - Carabobo | 54% | 1.8 | -1.56% | 33.21 |
Both Teams to Score - NO
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Al-Hidd - Al-Muharraq | 62% | 1.82 | 7.05% | 40.19 |
| 01:30 | Corinthians SP - Santa Fe Bogota | 65% | 1.44 | -4.44% | 38.55 |
| 18:00 | CS Constantine - MC Alger | 64% | 1.49 | -3.11% | 38.36 |
| 15:00 | Vihren Sandanski - Sportist Svoge | 58% | 1.86 | 4.24% | 37.15 |
| 01:30 | River Plate - Carabobo | 63% | 1.44 | -6.44% | 36.85 |
| 23:00 | Tigre Victoria - Macara Ambato | 62% | 1.5 | -4.67% | 36.78 |
| 23:00 | ART Mun. Jalapa - Real Madriz | 57% | 1.9 | 4.37% | 36.64 |
| 17:30 | Montana - Slavia Sofia | 57% | 1.83 | 2.36% | 36.03 |
| 01:30 | Fluminense RJ - Ind. Rivadavia | 60% | 1.57 | -3.69% | 35.93 |
| 23:00 | Palmeiras SP - Sp. Cristal | 60% | 1.57 | -3.69% | 35.93 |
Both Teams to Score - YES
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | LA Galaxy - Dep. Toluca | 62% | 1.5 | -4.67% | 36.78 |
| 16:00 | BFC Daugavpils - FS Jelgava | 60% | 1.63 | -1.35% | 36.61 |
| 16:00 | Aluminij - Mura | 60% | 1.62 | -1.73% | 36.50 |
| 15:30 | Ararat-Armenia - Noah | 61% | 1.5 | -5.67% | 35.93 |
| 02:00 | Juticalpa - Platense | 58% | 1.59 | -4.89% | 34.46 |
| 01:00 | Matagalpa - Managua FC | 56% | 1.69 | -3.17% | 33.84 |
| 18:30 | Vikingur Gota - AB Argir | 57% | 1.6 | -5.50% | 33.73 |
| 17:15 | Al-Sadd - Vissel Kobe | 56% | 1.66 | -4.24% | 33.53 |
| 15:00 | East Bengal - Bengaluru | 54% | 1.8 | -1.56% | 33.21 |
| 17:45 | AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk | 56% | 1.62 | -5.73% | 33.10 |
Under 1.5
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | CS Constantine - MC Alger | 45% | 2.05 | -3.78% | 27.63 |
| 19:45 | Peterborough Utd - Port Vale | 32% | 4.5 | 9.78% | 26.89 |
| 03:00 | Municipal - Comunicaciones | 37% | 3.1 | 4.74% | 26.54 |
| 15:00 | Vihren Sandanski - Sportist Svoge | 34% | 3.59 | 6.14% | 25.82 |
| 22:00 | Sport Sebaco - Diriangen | 32% | 4.05 | 7.31% | 25.60 |
| 23:00 | ART Mun. Jalapa - Real Madriz | 32% | 4.05 | 7.31% | 25.60 |
| 01:30 | Avai SC - Caxias RS | 39% | 2.45 | -1.82% | 25.12 |
| 17:30 | Montana - Slavia Sofia | 33% | 3.4 | 3.59% | 24.30 |
| 20:00 | Nottingham Forest - Porto | 34% | 3 | 0.67% | 23.57 |
| 23:00 | Tigre Victoria - Macara Ambato | 36% | 2.63 | -2.02% | 23.54 |
Over 3.5
| Time | Teams | Prob % | Odds | Value % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Palmeiras SP - Sp. Cristal | 40% | 2.25 | -4.44% | 24.76 |
| 02:00 | Juticalpa - Platense | 37% | 2.69 | -0.17% | 24.69 |
| 02:00 | LA Galaxy - Dep. Toluca | 38% | 2.5 | -2.00% | 24.55 |
| 03:00 | Ind. del Valle - U. Central | 38% | 2.5 | -2.00% | 24.55 |
| 18:30 | Vikingur Gota - AB Argir | 39% | 2.35 | -3.55% | 24.54 |
| 15:30 | Ararat-Armenia - Noah | 37% | 2.45 | -3.82% | 23.42 |
| 02:30 | Inter FA - FAS Santa Ana | 32% | 3.25 | 1.23% | 22.88 |
| 23:00 | Lanus - Always Ready | 36% | 2.5 | -4.00% | 22.85 |
| 23:00 | Atletico MG - Juventud de LP | 36% | 2.5 | -4.00% | 22.85 |
| 01:30 | River Plate - Carabobo | 33% | 3 | -0.33% | 22.72 |
📈 Summary
- Total matches: 100
- Markets represented: 10
- Average probability: 61.8%
- Average odds: 1.76
- Average score: 37.72
- Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026